Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 63.134014 71.621549 80.318195 89.861793 100.008069 110.442820 121.955349
2025-11-16 50.203383 62.350752 75.384058 90.268891 106.667530 124.065624 143.805963
2025-11-23 41.556856 55.511048 71.028440 89.275646 109.883006 132.204014 157.988424
2025-11-30 36.239683 51.633103 69.286272 90.548856 115.036287 141.983807 173.531357
2025-12-07 32.155212 48.658198 68.121787 92.061459 120.092586 151.345830 188.331241
2025-12-14 27.530461 44.523255 65.177610 91.138072 122.044672 156.948295 198.684770
2025-12-21 23.184081 40.290627 61.752836 89.324832 122.688573 160.832118 206.890371
2025-12-28 21.740808 39.704049 62.726788 92.726554 129.404423 171.658200 222.986232
2026-01-04 19.819490 38.271564 62.482327 94.512718 134.098863 180.064073 236.243566
2026-01-11 17.228177 35.647943 60.511152 93.993438 135.888470 184.968193 245.364253
2026-01-18 14.957275 33.258461 58.680568 93.513641 137.615667 189.712930 254.228526
2026-01-25 13.256047 31.552594 57.647845 93.957991 140.403984 195.663235 264.462131
2026-02-01 11.293051 29.250277 55.687993 93.138369 141.604484 199.730133 272.528825
2026-02-08 9.824858 27.589035 54.522252 93.287623 143.968172 205.168946 282.207473
2026-02-15 8.231434 25.501932 52.605205 92.324434 144.839067 208.731817 289.599112
2026-02-22 7.367564 24.616256 52.386867 93.612708 148.551485 215.742171 301.103440
2026-03-01 6.646765 23.907995 52.381107 95.155269 152.567070 223.110990 313.032946
2026-03-08 5.478443 22.134640 50.639700 94.214321 153.306290 226.398757 320.010911
2026-03-15 4.292834 20.083959 48.325789 92.367028 152.783762 228.064264 324.977850
2026-03-22 4.158021 20.368666 49.748697 95.832486 159.261054 238.459469 340.566015
2026-03-29 3.761605 19.975223 50.036481 97.651709 163.549924 246.116212 352.821285
2026-04-05 3.052353 18.665208 48.734944 97.122846 164.680671 249.788613 360.194842
2026-04-12 2.441836 17.443477 47.499821 96.634176 165.825048 253.450383 367.535344